2007 & 2011 Mayoral Elections – what’s the big deal?

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voting image

Elections are funny little creatures.  You never can be certain how the results will go.   One election which has always puzzled me happens to be the 2011 Muncie General Election. So many inconsistencies can be found – decided to pull the information together.

Let’s begin with the number of registered voters according to Delaware County Clerk’s Office.  Election results for the 2011 election are showing 60,811 registered voters.  However, the population of Muncie in 2010 was 70,085. U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts selected- Muncie city, Indiana

The Census Bureau includes Ball State Students living in the City of Muncie both on-campus and off-campus.  Roughly this would be approximately 15,000 students.

Persons under the age of 18 accounts for 17.8% of the population.  If the calculations are correct this would mean 12,475.13 were ineligible to register to vote in 2010.  Granted, some may have turned 18 in 2011 and registered and indeed did vote.  (I did, my father forced it upon me.)

Let’s err on the side of caution here.

70,085 residents  –5,000 BSU students not registered in Delaware County (assuming 10,000 is registered in Delaware County )-10,475 under the age of 18 (assuming 2,000 reached 18 making them eligible for ’11 elections) 54,610 estimated alive and residing in Muncie.

Although, we can’t have an accurate count of registered voters because the rolls are never cleaned up.  People die, people move away and their registration stays active.  Like the man who moved back to Indiana after living in Illinois for decades.  He was still registered to vote in Muncie.

Let’s go on to 2011 election results.  The ’08 Presidential election muddies the waters a little because we don’t have a break-down for city and county voters.  However, from 2007 – 2011 there was an increase of 6,137 new registrations of which 2,029 came in after the 2011 primary.

In 2007 both McShurley and Mansfield were in a dead heat.  After the recount, McShurley won by a handful of votes.  And this is where it gets interesting.  In 2011 Dennis Tyler received 1,789 more votes, in fact, more than either candidate received in ’07.   Probably due to their registration drives of which 240 didn’t bother to vote.  Good odds, huh?

Still, even with the additional voters, 2011 saw less than a 1% increase in voter turn-out from 2007.

2007 had 3992 Democrat straight tickets and 1,366 absentee ballots.

2011 had 4000 Democrat straight tickets and 1,722 absentee ballots, just 67 votes shy of Dennis Tyler’s total vote of 1,789 over McShurley.

Interesting, no?

2007-2015 election 1  (PDF)

2007 primary election results (PDF)

Delaware County Election Results 2007

2011 General Election results

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